mercredi 29 août 2012

Asia stocks dip on Japan sales, lack of Fed clarity; Nikkei down 0.76%

Forexpros - Asian stocks were lower after Japanese retail sales for July came in weaker than expected, while investors sold to wait for Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's speech this Friday at the Fed's annual symposium at Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

During Asian trading on Thursday, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index was down 1.39%, Australia's S&P/ASX200 was down 1.09%, while Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index was down 0.76%.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke has used the Jackson Hole symposium in the past to telegraph policy moves, most notably, a second round of quantitative easing in 2010.

Under quantitative easing, the Fed buys assets from banks such as Treasury holdings or mortgage-backed securities, pumping the economy full of fresh liquidity to drive down borrowing costs and spur recovery, weakening the dollar and sending global stocks rising in the process.

Strong housing data and upward revisions to U.S. gross domestic product figures, however, sparked new talk that maybe the Fed will hold off with stimulus measures, which sent investors selling stocks and jumping to the sidelines to wait for the symposium to begin.

The Commerce Department revised its second-quarter growth rate up two percentage points to 1.7% from 1.5%, mainly due to stronger consumer spending and exports.

Furthermore, the Federal Reserve's Beige Book released earlier showed that while manufacturing continues to face some headwinds, the economy continues to recover.

The U.S. will unveil official data on personal consumption expenditures and personal spending later Thursday, and the GDP revisions and Beige Book stoked sentiments the data may surprise for the better and put expectations of stimulus measure to rest.

Housing data surprised on the upside earlier as well.

The National Association of Realtors said its index of pending home sales index rose 2.4% in July, far outpacing expectations for a 1.0% increase.

Year-on-year, pending home sales rose 15.0% in July, beating out market calls for an 11.1% increase, after rising by 8.4% in June.

The data came about a day in the footsteps of bullish home pricing data.

The Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller home price index released Tuesday showed a gain of 0.5% from June 2011, the first annual increase since 2010.

Analysts were expecting the figure to contract 0.1%.

Meanwhile in Japan, retail sales fell more than expected last month.

The Japanese Ministry of Economy Trade and Industry reported that retail sales fell to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of -0.8%, from 0.2% in the preceding month.

Analysts had expected retail sales to fall at annual rate of -0.2% last month.
The news further fueled the equities selloff.

In Hong Kong, top decliners included Sino Land, down 3.45%, CITIC Pacific, down 2.91%, and Hang Lung Properties, down 2.50%. 

In Australia, top decliners included Boart Longyear Ltd., down 32.77% due to a cautious earnings outlook, FKP Property Group, down 28.95% also due to a cautionary earnings outlook, and Macmahon Holdings down 7.58%. 

European stock futures indicated a lower opening.

France's CAC 40 futures pointed to a loss of 0.35%, while Germany's DAX 30 futures pointed to a loss of 0.24%. Meanwhile in the U.K., FTSE 100 futures indicated a loss of 0.27%.

Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were down 0.14% while the S&P 500 futures were down 0.33%.

Forex Trading Signals for 30th August 2012


We will BUY on the market: GBP/USD
BUY : 
Entry Point : 1.58326
Take Profit:   1.58700
Stop Loss:    1.58000

 2nd signal

signal: BUY
Entry Point:  1.58309
Take Profit:  1.58700
Stop Loss:    1.58000

,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

We will BUY on the market: EUR/USD
BUY : 
Entry Point : 1.25500
Take Profit:   1.25800
Stop Loss:    1.25200

 thereafter, after the market has gone up a little bit

we will SELL on the market rally again,,,,,,for EUR/USD

signal: SELL
Entry Point:  1.25358
Take Profit:  1.25000
Stop Loss:    1.25700


Wish you all a successful forex trading. Always remember to use your stop loss to avoid much loss on your trading account,,,

Good Luck friends,,,
One Love,,,

mardi 28 août 2012

Forex Trading Signals for 29th August 2012


We will SELL on the market: GBP/USD
SELL : 
Entry Point : 1.58157
Take Profit:   1.57900
Stop Loss:    1.58500

 thereafter, after the market has gone down a little bit

we will BUY on the market rally again,,,,,,for GBp/USD

signal: BUY
Entry Point:  1.58060
Take Profit:  1.58400
Stop Loss:    1.57760

,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

We will SELL on the market: EUR/USD
SELL : 
Entry Point : 1.25572
Take Profit:   1.25272
Stop Loss:    1.25872

 thereafter, after the market has gone down a little bit

we will BUY on the market rally again,,,,,,for EUR/USD

signal: BUY
Entry Point:  1.25387
Take Profit:  1.25800
Stop Loss:    1.25000




Wish you all a successful forex trading. Always remember to use your stop loss to avoid much loss on your trading account,,,

Good Luck friends,,,
One Love,,,

Gartley pattern - where is the D point location

Not sure about the author of this picture but nicely presents the location (zone) of the D point within the harmonic Gartley pattern.




to learn more about the Gartley pattern check: All about the Gartley pattern trading



lundi 27 août 2012

Forex Trading Signals for 28th August 2012



We will BUY on the market: GBP/USD

BUY : 
Entry Point : 1.57818
Take Profit:   1.58020
Stop Loss:    1.57518

 thereafter,

we will SELL on the market rally again,,,,,,for GBp/USD

signal: SELL
Entry Point:  1.57990
Take Profit:  1.57600
Stop Loss:    1.58300

,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

We will allow the market to rise a little bit before

we will SELL on the market rally,,,,,,for EUR/USD


signal: SELL
Entry Point:  1.25030
Take Profit:  1.24800
Stop Loss:    1.25400



Wish you all a successful forex trading. Always remember to use your stop loss to avoid much loss on your trading account,,,

Good Luck friends,,,
One Love,,,

dimanche 26 août 2012

Forex - EUR/USD weekly outlook: August 27 - 31

Forexpros - The euro declined against the U.S. dollar on Friday, trimming some of the week’s gains as risk sentiment was hit by fresh worries over the handling of Greece’s financial crisis following comments by German Chancellor Angela Merkel.

EUR/USD hit 1.2588 on Thursday, the pair’s highest since July 4; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.2510 by close of trade on Friday, climbing 1.27% over the week.

The pair is likely to find support at 1.2406, the low of June 28 and resistance at 1.2626, the high of July 3.

Following talks with Greek Prime Minister Antonis Samaras on Friday, Chancellor Merkel said it was up to Greece to show that it could implement the austerity measures agreed with its international creditors, but reiterated that the country should stay in the euro zone.

Investor confidence also weakened after European Central Bank officials said that bank chief Mario Draghi may wait until Germany’s Constitutional Court rules on the legality of the euro zone’s permanent bailout fund, the European Stability Mechanism, before unveiling full details of his plan to buy government bonds. The German ruling is expected on September 12.

Market sentiment had improved earlier in the week, amid growing expectations that the ECB will implement policy measures to help stabilize the euro zone's sovereign debt markets at its next policy meeting in early September.

The euro touched its highest level against the dollar since July 4 on Thursday, following reports that that Spanish government officials were in talks with the euro zone over an aid package.

The reports were subsequently denied by Spain’s deputy prime minister on Friday.

The greenback came under broad selling pressure after Wednesday’s minutes of the Federal Reserve’s August meeting showed that many policymakers think additional easing may be warranted "fairly soon" unless there is evidence of a "substantial and sustainable" strengthening in the economic recovery.

In addition, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke told a congressional oversight panel on Friday that the U.S. central bank has room to deliver additional monetary stimulus to boost the U.S. economy.

But the dollar remained supported, as a number of U.S. reports released at the end of last week painted a mixed picture the country’s economic recovery, prompting investors to temper hopes for fresh stimulus measures by the U.S. central bank.

In the coming week investors will be looking ahead to a speech by Fed Chairman Bernanke at an annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming at the end of the week.

In addition, the U.S. is to release revised data on second quarter economic growth, while Italy is to hold an auction of 10-year governments bonds, in what will be an important test of investor appetite for the country’s debt.

Ahead of the coming week, Forexpros has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets. 

Monday, August 27

In the euro zone, the Ifo Institute for Economic Research is to release a report on German business climate, a leading indicator of economic health.

Tuesday, August 28

In the euro zone, Germany is to release data on consumer climate, a leading indicator of consumer spending.

Later in the day, the U.S. is to release a report on consumer confidence, a leading indicator of economic health, as well as industry data on house price inflation.

Wednesday, August 29

In the euro zone, Germany is to release preliminary data on consumer price inflation, which accounts for a majority of overall inflation.

The U.S. is to produce revised data on second quarter gross domestic product, the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health. The country is also to release industry data on pending home sales, as well as official data on crude oil stockpiles and the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book.

Thursday, August 30

In the euro zone, official data is to be produced on German unemployment change. Separately, Italy is to hold a ten-year government bond auction.

The U.S. is to produce official data on personal consumption expenditures and personal spending. In addition, the annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming is set to begin.

Friday, August 31

The euro zone is to publish preliminary data on consumer price inflation, which accounts for the majority of overall inflation, as well as official data on the unemployment rate throughout the single currency bloc. Germany is to produce official data on retail sales, the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity.

The U.S. is to round up the week with a report on Chicago’s purchasing managers’ index as well as revised data by the University of Michigan on consumer sentiment, as well as official data on factory orders.

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is also scheduled to speak at the Jackson Hole Symposium; his comments will be closely watched for any indications on the future possible direction of monetary policy.

Forex Trading Signals for 27th August 2012


We will allow the market to rise high and thereafter,

we will SELL on the market rally again,,,,,,for GBp/USD

signal: SELL
Entry Point:  1.58214
Take Profit:  1.58000
Stop Loss:    1.58700

,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

We will allow the market to rise a little bit before

we will SELL on the market rally,,,,,,for EUR/USD


signal: SELL
Entry Point:  1.25160
Take Profit:  1.25000
Stop Loss:    1.25600



Wish you all a successful forex trading. Always remember to use your stop loss to avoid much loss on your trading account,,,

Good Luck friends,,,
One Love,,,

samedi 25 août 2012

jeudi 23 août 2012

Forex: EUR/USD drops to the 1.2540 zone

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The single currency is printing fresh session lows, dipping to the proximities of 1.2540 on comments by Germany’s CDU leader Kauder. The official has stated that Germany can’t give Greece more money and that Greece must fulfill its commitments. The official also said that an exit of Greece wouldn’t be a problem.

Ahead in the day, the meeting between A.Merkel and A.Samaras will be closely watched by investors, while Durable Good orders will be released in the US.

EUR/USD is losing 0.12% at 1.2543 as fo writing, with the immediate support at 1.2535 (hourly low Aug.23) would bring 1.2515 (hourly low Aug.22) then 1.2488 (high Aug.21) and 1.2431 (low Aug.22).
On the upside, a break above 1.2608 (high Jul.4) would bring 1.2627 (high Jul.3) then 1.2663 (50% of 1.3284-1.2042) and 1,2693 (high Jun.29).

Forex Trading Signals for 24th August 2012



we will SELL on the market rally,,,,,,for GBp/USD


signal: SELL
Entry Point:  1.58713
Take Profit:  1.58300
Stop Loss:    1.59100

,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

We will allow the market to go down a little bit before

we will Buy on the market rally,,,,,,for EUR/USD


signal: BUY
Entry Point:  1.25620
Take Profit:  1.2600
Stop Loss:    1.25300



Wish you all a successful forex trading. Always remember to use your stop loss to avoid much loss on your trading account,,,

Good Luck friends,,,
One Love,,,


mercredi 22 août 2012

Forex Trading Signals for 23th August 2012


We will allow the market to go down a little bit before

we will Buy on the market rally,,,,,,for GBp/USD


signal: BUY
Entry Point:  1.58460
Take Profit:  1.58700
Stop Loss:    1.58000

,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,





Wish you all a successful forex trading. Always remember to use your stop loss to avoid much loss on your trading account,,,

Good Luck friends,,,
One Love,,,

Forex Trading Signals for 22th August 2012



We will allow the market to go down a little bit before


we will Buy on the market rally,,,,,,for GBp/USD


signal: BUY
Entry Point:  1.57650
Take Profit:  1.57900
Stop Loss:    1.57300

,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,


We will allow the market to go down a little bit before

we will Buy on the market rally,,,,,,for EUR/USD


signal: BUY
Entry Point:  1.24373
Take Profit:  1.24700
Stop Loss:    1.2400



Wish you all a successful forex trading. Always remember to use your stop loss to avoid much loss on your trading account,,,

Good Luck friends,,,
One Love,,,


lundi 20 août 2012

Butterfly pattern - 161.8 and 113 extreem XA retracements

See examples of the butterfly pattern with extreem D point positions -> http://tradingarsenal.com/butterfly-pattern/470-ideal-tradeable-butterfly-pattern.html






Butterfly pattern - internal structure of the CD swing

Based on the Elliott Wave theory we should look for the following internal CD swing structure in the butterfly pattern.




ideal versus tradeable butterfly pattern

Note the differences (Fibonacci ratios) between ideal and tradeable butterfly pattern.
Ideal butterfly pattern:

Tradable butterfly pattern:

To learn all about the butterfly pattern visit ->  Butterfly pattern - Table of Content




dimanche 19 août 2012

Forex Trading Signals for 20th August 2012


we will SELL on the market rally,,,,,,for GBp/USD
"SELL" 

signal: SELL
Entry Point:  1.56810
Take Profit:  1.56600
Stop Loss:    1.57300

,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,


we will SELL on the market rally,,,,,,for Eur/USD
"SELL" 

signal: SELL
Entry Point:  1.23330
Take Profit:  1.23000
Stop Loss:    1.23600



Wish you all a successful forex trading. Always remember to use your stop loss to avoid much loss on your trading account,,,

Good Luck friends,,,
One Love,,,


How to find and draw the Butterfly pattern?

We look here at probably most powerful and profitable price pattern forming on the charts (of course together with the Gartley, 121 and Bat patterns). When you see its first 3 legs of the butterfly pattern completed and forming swing CD crossing the point B price level - GET READY. Now your work starts. See the following diagram presenting the moment (price location) where it's worth to observe the emerging butterfly pattern. Attempts trying to prognose potential butterfly pattern before price reaches presented point is in our opinion loss of time, efforts and money.

At TradingArsenal Forum we prepared a dedicated thread for this fantastic pattern -> http://tradingarsenal.com/butterfly-pattern/




samedi 18 août 2012

butterfly pattern in Elliott Wave correction (BC wave)

Butterfly pattern located at the end of corrective move in Elliott Wave fractal - wave B-C butterfly.



butterfly pattern in Elliott Wave fractal (wave 4-5)


Butterfly pattern located in Wave4 and Wave5.
Comments are welcome.


ideal Butterfly pattern: slow vs aggressive type

From our observations and experience there are 2 types of butterfly pattern: slow butterfly pattern and aggressive butterfly.

Slow butterfly pattern diagram:


Aggressive butterfly diagram:

To learn more about the butterfly pattern visit TradingArsenal Forum

mercredi 15 août 2012

Forex Trading Signals for 16th August 2012




we will SELL on the market rally,,,,,,for GBp/USD

"SELL" 

signal: SELL
Entry Point:  1.56690
Take Profit:  1.56450
Stop Loss:    1.57000

Thereafter,,,when the market has gone down a little bit,,,we will BUY

BUY: GBP/USD
Entry Point: 1.56823
Take Profit:  1.57200
Stop Loss:   1.56500

,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

we will SELL on the market rally,,,,,,for Eur/USD
"SELL" 

signal: SELL
Entry Point:  1.22815
Take Profit:  1.22615
Stop Loss:    1.23200

OR

SELL: EUR/USD
Entry Point: 1.22942
Take Profit:  1.22700
Stop Loss:   1.233240


Wish you all a successful forex trading. Always remember to use your stop loss to avoid much loss on your trading account,,,

Good Luck friends,,,
One Love,,,

Harmonic Trading - butterfly bearish example

Harmonic Trading - butterfly bearish example with Weekly and Daily Pivot points confirming the exact harmonic pattern point D.


Harmonic Trading - BAT bearish example

Example of well located and structured Bat pattern.



At TradingArsenal Forum we are going to cover the Bat Pattern in details. Very powerful pattern!

mardi 14 août 2012

Forex Trading Signals for 15th August 2012



we will BUY on the market rally,,,,,,for GBp/USD

"BUY" 

signal: BUY
Entry Point:  1.56727
Take Profit:  1.5700
Stop Loss:    1.56300

Thereafter,,,when the market has risen high,,,we will SELL

SELL: GBP/USD
Entry Point: 1.56860
Take Profit:  1.56500
Stop Loss:   1.57100

,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

we will BUY on the market rally,,,,,,for Eur/USD
"BUY" 

signal: BUY
Entry Point:  1.23261
Take Profit:  1.23500
Stop Loss:    1.2300

Thereafter,,,when the market has risen high,,,we will SELL

SELL: EUR/USD
Entry Point: 1.23360
Take Profit:  1.2300
Stop Loss:   1.23700


Wish you all a successful forex trading. Always remember to use your stop loss to avoid much loss on your trading account,,,

Good Luck friends,,,
One Love,,,

"Harmonic Elliott Wave" by Ian Copsey

If you are interested in harmonic trading and want to combine this method with the Elliott Wave Theory, check this out: Webinar: "Harmonic Elliott Wave" with Ian Copsey

It's interesting to see counting waves in 3s (3 subwaves in an impulse wave), not 5s.
A bit too theorectical I would say, .... but theoretical things may give good practical trading ideas.

and here is Ian's book:






lundi 13 août 2012

Forex Trading Signals for 14th August 2012


we will BUY on the market rally,,,,,,for GBp/USD
"BUY" 

signal: BUY
Entry Point:  1.56870
Take Profit:  1.570100
Stop Loss:    1.56500

Thereafter,,,when the market has risen high,,,we will SELL

SELL: GBP/USD
Entry Point: 1.56838
Take Profit:  1.56600
Stop Loss:   1.57100

,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

we will BUY on the market rally,,,,,,for Eur/USD
"BUY" 

signal: BUY
Entry Point:  1.23400
Take Profit:  1.23600
Stop Loss:    1.23100



Wish you all a successful forex trading. Always remember to use your stop loss to avoid much loss on your trading account,,,

Good Luck friends,,,
One Love,,,

121 pattern internal structure in Elliott Wave theory

We believe that when we talk about 121 pattern (in context of the Elliott Wave Theory) we talk about flat correction.

Based on this theory we should look for the following internal 121 pattern structures (1 case only, comparing to 4 cases for the Gartley pattern):


To read more about flat corrections, 121 internal structure and more ... check our TradingArsenal knowledge base on the 121 pattern -> trading 121 pattern - Table of Content  


dimanche 12 août 2012

Forex Trading Signals for 13th August 2012


we will BUY on the market rally,,,,,,for GBp/USD
"BUY" 

signal: BUY
Entry Point:  1.56730
Take Profit:  1.57500
Stop Loss:    1.56300

,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

we will BUY on the market rally,,,,,,for Eur/USD
"BUY" 

signal: BUY
Entry Point:  1.22946
Take Profit:  1.23500
Stop Loss:    1.22500



Wish you all a successful forex trading. Always remember to use your stop loss to avoid much loss on your trading account,,,

Good Luck friends,,,
One Love,,,

latest TradingArsenal research - XABCD Diagonal

Just a glimpse on what we research currently at TradingArsenal before adding to AMPmonitor
something like Elliott Wave theory ending diagonal or WolfeWave, but again we want to go in direction to make it very practical tradable pattern...